Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
14º
91
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
HHC
2 - 0
HER
8%
15%
77%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
S04
4 - 1
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAE
4 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
54%
22%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSV
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
3 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 4
PSV
17%
21%
63%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 2
SEV
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |