Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
ZWO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
HER
7 - 0
HSC
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
HER
4 - 1
RKC
66%
19%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCE
4 - 1
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 2
PSV
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 1
GAL
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |