Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
4 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
EBT
2 - 0
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
JUT
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
TEL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 5
PSV
25%
23%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
FCE
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 3
PSV
15%
20%
66%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
VIK
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 2
EIN
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |