Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 4
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
ZWO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 3
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 1
SCF
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 1
PSV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |