Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 2
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 3
PSV
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
ADO
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 5
PSV
13%
19%
69%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 1
PAN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |