Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
ZWO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
GET
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
5 - 0
NEC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ZUL
0 - 3
PSV
18%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 3
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |