Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 4
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |