Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
HER
4 - 3
GRO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
2 - 1
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 3
FEY
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |