Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
DCG
0 - 3
HER
6%
14%
80%
|
74 | 10 | 64 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
HER
2 - 2
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
VVV
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
MVV
1 - 2
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 4
PSV
25%
24%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 2
FEY
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |