Heracles vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RKC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCH
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 3
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |