Heracles vs Jong Ajax analysis

Heracles Jong Ajax
78 ELO 65
12.4% Tilt 13.6%
382º General ELO ranking 1892º
12º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Heracles
19.8%
Draw
15.9%
Jong Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Heracles
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heracles
+11%
-16%
Jong Ajax

Points and table prediction

Heracles
Their league position
Jong Ajax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
46
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Heracles
85
85
0%
PEC Zwolle
85
85
0%
Almere City
70
70
100%
Willem II
68
68
100%
MVV Maastricht
59
59
100%
NAC Breda
59
59
100%
VVV Venlo
58
58
0%
FC Eindhoven
58
58
0%
SC Telstar
53
53
100%
De Graafschap
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Jong AZ
11º
51
51
11º
0%
ADO Den Haag
12º
51
51
12º
0%
Jong Ajax
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Jong PSV
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Roda JC
15º
43
43
15º
0%
Helmond Sport
16º
43
43
16º
0%
TOP Oss
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Dordrecht
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Heracles
Jong Ajax
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Heracles
Jong Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2023
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 3
Heracles
HER
29%
26%
44%
76 71 5 0
05 May. 2023
FCD
Dordrecht
1 - 3
Heracles
HER
9%
19%
72%
76 53 23 0
28 Apr. 2023
HER
Heracles
3 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
75%
16%
9%
75 60 15 +1
21 Apr. 2023
HEL
Helmond Sport
0 - 1
Heracles
HER
12%
21%
68%
75 56 19 0
14 Apr. 2023
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
68%
19%
13%
75 63 12 0

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2023
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
62%
20%
18%
66 61 5 0
08 May. 2023
JON
Jong Ajax
4 - 2
ADO Den Haag
ADO
44%
24%
33%
65 68 3 +1
28 Apr. 2023
VVV
VVV Venlo
0 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
36%
24%
40%
64 65 1 +1
24 Apr. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
10%
17%
73%
65 51 14 -1
17 Apr. 2023
JON
Jong Ajax
5 - 4
Jong PSV
PSV
57%
22%
21%
64 60 4 +1