Heracles vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 3
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 3
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |