Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HER
5 - 0
UNA
91%
7%
2%
|
73 | 24 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 0
FEY
10%
20%
71%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ZWO
3 - 1
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 2
JOD
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 2
TWE
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 0
GAE
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |