Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
AJA
11%
17%
71%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ASW
1 - 3
HER
6%
14%
79%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 4
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 3
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVO
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |