Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
FCE
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 3
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ZWO
3 - 1
ADO
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 4
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
ZWO
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ZWO
6 - 2
RKC
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |