Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HAN
4 - 1
HER
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HER
0 - 4
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ZWO
3 - 1
FEY
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 1
ZWO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
ZWO
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
VVV
2 - 0
ZWO
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
AZA
5 - 0
ZWO
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |