Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
BVV
0 - 1
HER
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1998 |
EIN
2 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
HER
2 - 3
BOS
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
HER
1 - 1
HFC
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
RBC
3 - 1
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TEL
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
FCD
1 - 6
ZWO
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 1
ZWO
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
HEL
0 - 3
ZWO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |