Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 1
HER
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
GAE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
BVO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
UTR
3 - 2
BVO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 3
UTR
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |