Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
HER
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
RJC
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RKC
4 - 0
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 5
UTR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |