Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
GRO
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ACH
5 - 3
HER
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
APE
0 - 2
UTR
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 2
PSV
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
STB
3 - 1
UTR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |