Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
4 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 2
OBK
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 3
GEN
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |