Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 0
VVV
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
HOE
88%
10%
2%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 1
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRO
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRO
18%
20%
62%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ZWO
3 - 2
GRO
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |