Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 2
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ADO
3 - 1
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
4 - 1
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |