Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
JVC
0 - 1
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 3
GRO
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
4 - 2
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |