Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ACH
5 - 3
HER
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 1
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VVV
3 - 5
GRO
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 1
ADO
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 2
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |