Heracles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
FCE
2 - 0
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
GRA
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
VIK
2 - 0
HER
16%
18%
67%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
16%
22%
63%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
RKC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |