Heracles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
HSV
5 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
KON
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 3
EXC
12%
18%
69%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |