Heracles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
54%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HER
3 - 0
FCO
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
MVV
5 - 1
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
TEL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
GAE
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VOL
1 - 2
HER
60%
21%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
EXC
5 - 1
HFC
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
BVO
1 - 5
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 1
EXC
61%
20%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |