Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
2 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 2
HER
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |