Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
FOR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 3
FEY
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
VIT
33%
24%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |