Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
FCE
2 - 0
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
GRA
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
VIK
2 - 0
HER
16%
18%
67%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SVZ
1 - 7
HER
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 17
HER
2%
5%
93%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 3
HUL
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
AJA
37%
26%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 2
PAO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |