Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FCD
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 3
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
DNI
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
DNI
1 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |