Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
RJC
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ZWO
5 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 2
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |