Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 3
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 4
HER
15%
19%
65%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |