Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 1
HER
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ADO
3 - 2
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUX
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |