Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
HER
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SBR
1 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 0
SBR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |