Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
RJC
7 - 0
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLP
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |