Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RKC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
SCH
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 0
AUS
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FEY
0 - 4
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |