Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
RBC
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
AJA
55%
22%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |