Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
HER
0 - 4
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FEY
6 - 2
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PSV
2 - 2
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
HER
3 - 3
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 5
AJA
22%
19%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |