Heracles U21 vs Vitesse U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GRO
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
FYN
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
4 - 1
HER
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 2
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
GRO
4 - 0
VIT
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
ADO
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
4 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
TWE
5 - 0
VIT
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |