Heracles U21 vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
HER
6 - 0
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GRO
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIT
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 2
ADO
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 2
SPA
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |