Heracles U21 vs Achilles '29 U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
EMM
0 - 3
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 3
TWE
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
CAM
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles '29 U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 1
TWE
12%
17%
72%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
4 - 0
ACH
68%
16%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 1
CAM
33%
21%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
10 - 0
ACH
85%
10%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 5
GAE
58%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |