Hennef 05 vs Konigsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
34
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVE
4 - 1
H05
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
H05
0 - 4
BSC
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
H05
2 - 1
BFR
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 3
H05
10%
15%
74%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
BSC
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
KON
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 2
KON
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
BGP
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KON
2 - 0
USC
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |