Hennef 05 vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VFL
5 - 1
H05
65%
18%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 2
H05
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
H05
0 - 2
HUR
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GET
1 - 2
H05
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 1
BSC
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
SIE
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
4 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 0
SPF
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
SIE
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |