Hennef 05 vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
1º
32
1º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 6
H05
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
H05
3 - 1
BGP
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
H05
23%
20%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
H05
0 - 2
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 5
H05
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 2
BSC
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
SIE
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 1
SVE
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 0
SIE
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
KON
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |