Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
16º
10º
35
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
H05
61%
18%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 3
H05
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
H05
1 - 4
SPV
58%
19%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
H05
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
H05
3 - 0
VFL
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
4 - 3
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
BER
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |