Hennef 05 vs FV Endenich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
23
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 0
H05
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
H05
2 - 4
ENG
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WEG
0 - 2
H05
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
H05
5 - 0
KON
67%
18%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
H05
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 6
VFL
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FVE
2 - 2
SVA
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TOP
1 - 2
FVE
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
12%
16%
73%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |