Hendon vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POT
1 - 5
HEN
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 3
MET
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
4 - 1
HEN
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 2
NOR
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAY
1 - 0
HEN
82%
12%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BOW
2 - 2
WIN
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
BOW
57%
22%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 0
WIN
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
AVE
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
WIN
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |