Hendon vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 2
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TON
3 - 1
HEN
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 1
HEN
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
STA
3 - 2
HEN
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEI
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
LEA
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIN
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
BUR
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 0
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |